Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.510632 0.562849 0.619028 0.684115 0.757631 0.838308 0.933830
2025-10-12 0.431004 0.504246 0.588940 0.694776 0.824402 0.979166 1.179685
2025-10-19 0.383132 0.466214 0.567022 0.699662 0.871555 1.089511 1.391187
2025-10-26 0.348288 0.437170 0.549223 0.702936 0.911598 1.189837 1.597308
2025-11-02 0.322489 0.415597 0.536882 0.709382 0.953288 1.293467 1.817853
2025-11-09 0.293806 0.386887 0.511445 0.694006 0.961154 1.348312 1.972256
2025-11-16 0.276769 0.372030 0.502837 0.700222 0.998937 1.448609 2.206460
2025-11-23 0.258577 0.353823 0.487580 0.694640 1.017477 1.520312 2.402967
2025-11-30 0.245402 0.341556 0.479527 0.698457 1.049878 1.615961 2.650932
2025-12-07 0.230115 0.324999 0.463703 0.688582 1.058891 1.673456 2.838915
2025-12-14 0.216547 0.310005 0.449003 0.678937 1.066793 1.728999 3.029789
2025-12-21 0.200661 0.290479 0.425983 0.653912 1.046205 1.732203 3.120770
2025-12-28 0.194899 0.286292 0.426784 0.668391 1.095552 1.866983 3.493638
2026-01-04 0.188657 0.280956 0.425371 0.679003 1.139114 1.996355 3.877861
2026-01-11 0.181739 0.274062 0.420872 0.683749 1.172157 2.109081 4.245186
2026-01-18 0.175078 0.267146 0.415804 0.686934 1.202322 2.219284 4.625710
2026-01-25 0.169496 0.261639 0.412673 0.693203 1.238769 2.346293 5.068278
2026-02-01 0.160593 0.250115 0.398571 0.678248 1.231948 2.381433 5.293227
2026-02-08 0.155894 0.245395 0.395895 0.684294 1.267726 2.512465 5.785258
2026-02-15 0.149653 0.237706 0.387536 0.678865 1.279277 2.590947 6.154336
2026-02-22 0.145259 0.232959 0.384088 0.682577 1.310229 2.717244 6.679813
2026-03-01 0.139147 0.224912 0.374238 0.672972 1.311621 2.774282 7.019920
2026-03-08 0.133453 0.217333 0.364834 0.663589 1.312616 2.830445 7.369400